'Toy Story 5' Eyes $275M Global Franchise Record Box Office Opening
Entertainment
17 Jun 2026
2 min read
Toy Story 5 Forecast: A Mixed Bag Ahead
As we approach the release of Toy Story 5, there are several factors at play that could influence its domestic forecast. One key consideration is presales, with $25M seen ahead of Super Mario Galaxy, Zootopia 2, and Moana 2, as well as behind Pixar's latest film.
Critical reviews on Rotten Tomatoes have been overwhelmingly positive for Toy Story 5, earning it a certified fresh rating of 93%. However, the lowest scores were received by previous films in the franchise, with only Super Mario Galaxy receiving an A Cinemascore, followed closely by Finding Nemo and Finding Dory. Meanwhile, WALL-E and Finding Nemo have been absent from this section, despite being highly acclaimed.
Overseas, Toy Story 5 is expected to perform well in English-speaking territories, Latin America, and France, while China has seen significant openings for other films. On the domestic front, art house counterprogramming like A24's Michael Sarnoski-directed The Death of Robin Hood could provide a boost to Universal's Spielberg film Disclosure Day.
As we await the official opening weekend numbers, it remains to be seen how Toy Story 5 will perform against its competitors and in light of these factors. With Disney's box office history in mind, fans can expect the company to fight hard for top spots on the charts.
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